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Author: Rowan Goeller

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Invicta Holdings – Initiation

Aug 7, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Long a trusted distributor of industrial parts, Invicta has been impacted by non-operational issues in recent years. A renewed focus under a new CEO should refocus the Group on core activities.

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Cashbuild Acquisition of The Building Company (TBC)

Aug 5, 2020Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials

Key message: Cashbuild has made a large acquisition, but TBC does fill in some important gaps in the building supply market for Cashbuild.

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Auto Anemometer: New Vehicle Sales – July 2020

Aug 4, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Vehicle sales stabilise at the same level as June – this may be the new normal level for the remainder of the year. The used car market is gaining relative to new as rental fleets dump cars into the market.

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Bidvest: Rentokil Initial 1H Results – What it Tells us about Hygiene Services in the Covid-19 Era

Jul 31, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Hygiene services peer company Rentokil Initial saw a decline in HORECA and office washroom service activity due to lockdowns, but this was more than made up by demand for hygiene products. Air care is a growth sector in Hygiene as a result of Covid-19.

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Raubex – Trading Update for 1H FY21

Jul 30, 2020Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials

Key message: Lockdown resulted in approx. R200m in standing costs, but Raubex has emerged with the balance sheet in a better position that at the end of Feb 2020. The recently released SIPS seem to favour roads projects to be the first to market.

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Barloworld Approaching a Crossroads

Jul 6, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: In a tough market balance sheet and cost management was good – Barloworld is more cost focused than before.

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Auto Anemometer: New Vehicle Sales – June 2020

Jul 1, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Vehicle sales recover in June but levels unlikely to grow significantly for the rest of the year. Significant rental de-fleeting will have a large impact on new car sales.

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KAP Industrial Holdings: Pre-Closed Operational Update

Jun 29, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Marginally better than our expectations, KAP seems to have weathered the lockdown in robust shape. Concerns over the Polymers division are overstated, in our opinion.

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Super Group – Trading Update

Jun 25, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Better than our previous forecast – but some large goodwill impairments likely.

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Bidcorp – Capital Markets Trading Update

Jun 15, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Management had an optimistic tone, with the restaurant trade opening quicker than expected. Cost control has been good (with help from government schemes to cover salaries).

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