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Author: Rowan Goeller

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Super Group – Earnings Update

May 15, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Super Group continues to be substantially undervalued – despite strong SG Fleet results and a robust performance in SA.

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Raubex – FY24 Results

May 15, 2024Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials

Key message: Diversity of earnings has helped replace the high-margin Beitbridge project and sets Raubex up for sustainable growth.

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Eskom Loadshedding Monitor – May 2024

May 6, 2024Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials, Diversified Industrials, General, Industrials

Key message: Higher planned maintenance through summer has improved the coal fleet performance. Lower unplanned outages have improved the loadshedding outlook.

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Auto Anemometer: New Vehicle Sales – April 2024

May 6, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Passenger sales remain weak with 2024 set to be a tough year for the car market.

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WeBuyCars – Initiation

Apr 10, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: We initiate on WeBuyCars with a Target Price of R23.50 (an average of the DCF and Sum-of-the-Parts valuations).

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Auto Anemometer: New Vehicle Sales – March 2024

Apr 3, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Passenger sales remain weak with 2024 set to be a tough year for the car market. Commercial sales and exports succumb to market headwinds.

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PPC – Pre-Close Update

Apr 2, 2024Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials, Diversified Industrials

Key message: The market weakened in 2H but a return to profit and possible dividend payment in FY24 are positives.

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Omnia – Earnings Update

Apr 2, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: We expect flat HEPS growth as the impact of lower ammonia prices is balanced by volume growth, no hyperinflation losses in Zimbabwe and a lower tax rate.

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Barloworld – Pre-Close Update

Apr 2, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Improved returns and strong cash generation remain under-appreciated.

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Grindrod – FY23 Results

Apr 2, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Strong performance from Port of Maputo. Overall volumes should maintain into FY24 with expansion due from FY26.

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