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Author: Rowan Goeller

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Invicta Holdings – Pre-Close Update

Mar 27, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Good defensive qualities and offshore exposure should help Invicta maintain earnings in a tough environment.

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ArcelorMittal South Africa “AMSA” – Initiation

Mar 26, 2024Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials, Diversified Industrials

Key message: Well positioned in raw material supply, AMSA has been let down by the state (lack of demand and services – energy and rail in particular).

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Cement Import Monitor – Imports to January 2024

Mar 25, 2024Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials

Key message: Imported cement volumes increased 18% in CY2023 with port issues apparently not impacting volumes.

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Mpact – FY23 Results

Mar 14, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Price and volume pressure remains, but MT growth through recent capital investments remains positive.

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Murray & Roberts – 1H FY24 Results

Mar 14, 2024Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials

Key message: The business should be able to earn HEPS of approx. 50c in FY25 with the current assets and reduced costs.

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AECI – FY23 Results

Mar 12, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: A major restructuring over the next 18 months will see a return to core Mining and Chemical sectors. A doubling of core EBITDA by FY26 is a focus.

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Cashbuild – 1H FY24 Results

Mar 11, 2024Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials, Retail

Key message: We did some on the ground market research – until meaningful demand recovery occurs, margins are likely to stay low.

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WBHO – 1H FY24 Results

Mar 6, 2024Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials

Key message: Back to the low risk contracting model, the order book outlook looks promising for a margin uplift.  

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Bidvest – 1H FY24 Results

Mar 6, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: After a cautious Trading Update in December, the result was better than expected with strong cost control across the group.

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Auto Anemometer: New Vehicle Sales – February 2024

Mar 4, 2024Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Passenger sales remain weak with 2024 set to be a tough year for the car market. Commercial sales continue to be resilient and exports ramp up from slow year end.

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