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Author: Rowan Goeller

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Italtile – 1H FY22 Results

Feb 14, 2022Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: High price inflation matched falling demand as the post-Covid lockdown DIY boom subsides. Local manufacturing helped gain market share.

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Hudaco – FY21 Results

Feb 9, 2022Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Mining and manufacturing maintenance spending – long neglected – is picking up and this is positive for Hudaco. Market share gains have helped. FY22 could be another strong year.

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Auto Anemometer

Feb 1, 2022Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: January 2022 passenger car sales grew by 26.6% YoY (+3.3% on January 2020). Suzuki has overtaken Hyundai in market share for the first time (and Haval is consistently outselling Kia).

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Diversified Industrials, Construction & Materials

Jan 17, 2022Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials, Diversified Industrials, Industrials, Packaging

Key message: Outperformance in CY21 was driven by a general rapid recovery from the Covid lockdowns, with margins in particular recovering strongly as costs were cut. Activity levels are mostly still short of pre-Covid levels. We believe that the Mid Cap industrials still offer value relative to some of the larger companies.

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Cashbuild – 2022 Update

Jan 17, 2022Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials

Key message: Sales have slowed down (adjusted for looting impact) after the DIY boom post-Covid. This was well flagged.

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Motus Holdings – FY22 Update

Jan 17, 2022Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: We update our earnings as we move into CY22. Motus imported vehicle sales were very strong in 1H FY22 – inventory availability seems better than peers.

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Auto Anemometer

Jan 11, 2022Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: CY21 passenger car sales grew by 22% but are still down 15% on the CY19 numbers.

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Cement Import Monitor

Dec 10, 2021Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials

Key message: October imports fell significantly to 35kt, well off September levels. This is a more expected outcome following supply chain disruptions.

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Murray & Roberts – Trading Update

Dec 7, 2021Rowan GoellerConstruction and Basic Materials

Key message: Management point to entering a multi-year period of strong earnings growth, which concurs with our forecasts. Delivery on the strong order book will be the key valuation factor going forward.

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Auto Anemometer

Dec 2, 2021Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: YoY comparatives are more meaningful now as comparative months are out of lockdown. We still compare to 2019 numbers though to get a real sense of where the market is.

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