Key message: Q1 was much stronger than expected, marking the 6th consecutive quarter of improving EBITDA to USD 240mn and
EPS of USD 0.20/share, with gearing reduced further (net debt/EBITDA 2.8x). SAP set to potentially print its record quarterly EBITDA in Q2 22E.
Key message: Pulp prices stable. Graphic Paper in the green and sack kraft market remains tight, with prices now up 45% y/y (EUR 400/t).
Key message: With the next wave of European containerboard capacity expected from Q4 22E, 2022 is set to be a stronger year. This coupled with favourable sack kraft dynamics and a further UWF recovery underpins our OVERWEIGHT rating for Mondi.
Key message: Further pulp gains in China. Graphic Paper prices keep marching on with the exception of UWF this week.
Key message: Maintain OVERWEIGHT. Strong Q1 expected, marking the 6th consecutive quarter of improving EBITDA to USD 192mn and EPS of USD 0.14/share. We expect net debt/EBITDA to decline to 3.2x.
Key message: Cotton, and polyester just in the green. VSF inventory days down again to 14 & average op. rate improves further to 85%. VSF theoretical profit still in the red at -USD 70/t (VSF/DWP spread +11% YTD). Spot DWP remains at USD 905/t.
Key message: Pulp prices gain further traction in China, with more increases on the cards. Graphic paper extends gains (but inclusive of energy surcharges).
Key message: Cotton, polyester & VSF all in the green. VSF inventory days down again to 17 & average op. rate improves further to 84%. VSF theoretical profit improved but still in the red at -USD 72/t (VSF/DWP spread +10% YTD). Spot DWP remains at USD 905/t.
Key message: Pulp, Paper & Packaging end 2021 in the green. Good start to the year for Graphic Paper & containerboard sets new highs.
Key message: Cotton, polyester & VSF start the year well. VSF inventory days down to 22 & average op. rate improves to 79%. VSF theoretical profit remains in the red at -USD 118/t (VSF/DWP spread +5% YTD). Spot DWP still USD 905/t.