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Category: Diversified Industrials

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Auto Anemometer: New Vehicle Sales – April 2020

May 5, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Vehicle sales collapse in April with dealers closed for the entire month. Level 4 allows only for emergency automobile repairs and component sales, with car sales allowed only under “specific directions”.

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Imperial Logistics – Sale of European Shipping Business

May 4, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: Looks like a good price for an asset earmarked for sale – 11.5 times FY19 EV/EBIT multiple or 12 times 1H FY20 annualised P/E. Question is – can the R3.4bn cash proceeds be well spent (given management is on the lookout for an IFM acquisition).

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Diversified Industrials – Who is Best Positioned to Survive Lockdown?

Apr 9, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: We have updated our forecasts to reflect three months of lost business due to the lockdown and knock-on effects. Some companies will test their debt covenant levels.

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KAP Industrial Holdings – Adjusting for Corona Impact

Apr 9, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: In the absence of certainty, we adjust our numbers to reflect 3-months of lost revenue to test robustness.

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Bidcorp – Adjusting for Corona Impact

Apr 2, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: In the absence of certainty, we adjust our numbers to reflect 3-months of lost revenue to test robustness.

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Imperial Logistics – Adjusting for Corona Impact

Apr 2, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: In the absence of certainty, we adjust our numbers to reflect 3-months of lost revenue to test robustness.


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Auto Anemometer – Mar 20

Apr 1, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: The impact of the shutdown has started to significantly impact vehicle sales, and the trend is likely to worsen. Car sales provide a timeous data window for the performance of non-durable goods.

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Super Group – Adjusting for Corona Impact

Apr 1, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: In the absence of certainty, we adjust our numbers to reflect 3-months of lost revenue to test robustness.

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Motus Holdings – Adjusting for Corona Impact

Mar 31, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: In the absence of certainty, we adjust our numbers to reflect 3-months of lost revenue to test robustness.

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Barloworld – Adjusting for Corona Impact

Mar 31, 2020Rowan GoellerDiversified Industrials

Key message: In the absence of certainty, we adjust our numbers to reflect 3-months of lost revenue to test robustness.

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